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Post by dive61364 on Nov 16, 2013 13:19:30 GMT -6
I see they think there could be a good chance for some severe weather in and around our area. I wish I lived in a nice safe basement apartment you jules lol.
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Post by rocket on Nov 16, 2013 16:13:47 GMT -6
000 FLUS43 KLOT 162143 HWOLOT HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL 343 PM CST SAT NOV 16 2013 ILZ003>006-008-010>014-019>023-032-033-039-INZ001-002-010-011-019- 172145- WINNEBAGO-BOONE-MCHENRY-LAKE ILLINOIS-OGLE-LEE-DE KALB-KANE- DUPAGE-COOK-LA SALLE-KENDALL-GRUNDY-WILL-KANKAKEE-LIVINGSTON- IROQUOIS-FORD-LAKE INDIANA-PORTER-NEWTON-JASPER-BENTON- 343 PM CST SAT NOV 16 2013 /443 PM EST SAT NOV 16 2013/ THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL ILLINOIS... NORTHEAST ILLINOIS AND NORTHWEST INDIANA. ...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND TORNADOES POSSIBLE SUNDAY... .DAY ONE...TONIGHT. WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED: SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS...SOME MAY PRODUCE: HAIL UP TO ONE INCH IN DIAMETER. HEAVY RAIN. AND CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. AREAS AFFECTED AND TIMING: ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THIS EVENING ACROSS THE ENTIRE OUTLOOK AREA WITH SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE AFTER MIDNIGHT...ESPECIALLY WEST TOWARD THE INTERSTATE 39 CORRIDOR. DISCUSSION: AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE AND APPROACHING WARM FRONT WILL PROVIDE THE FOCUS FOR OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT. THE THREAT OF THUNDERSTORMS LOOKS TO BE THE GREATEST AFTER MIDNIGHT AND OVER NORTH CENTRAL PORTIONS OF ILLINOIS. SOME POTENTIAL DOES EXIST FOR A COUPLE OF THESE STORMS TO BECOME SEVERE WITH LARGE HAIL THE PRIMARY THREAT. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY TO DEVELOP BY LATE MORNING OR EARLY AFTERNOON SUNDAY...WITH MANY OF THE STORMS PROBABLY BECOMING SEVERE. THE EXTREMELY STRONG WINDS THROUGHOUT THE ATMOSPHERE COUPLED WITH MODERATE INSTABILITY THAT ARE FORECAST TO DEVELOP WOULD PROVIDE AN EXCEPTIONALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR THUNDERSTORMS TO PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH AS WELL AS ISOLATED TORNADOES...INCLUDING SOME THREAT FOR A STRONG DAMAGING TORNADO. STORMS WILL BE MOVING EXTREMELY RAPIDLY ON SUNDAY...LIKELY AT 65 MPH OR GREATER.
EVEN OUTSIDE OF ANY THUNDERSTORMS...SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL GUST TO AROUND 45 MPH SUNDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTERS WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED SUNDAY. && www.nws.noaa.gov/view/prodsByState.php?state=IL&prodtype=special
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Post by Deleted on Nov 16, 2013 16:55:39 GMT -6
I see they think there could be a good chance for some severe weather in and around our area. I wish I lived in a nice safe basement apartment you jules lol. You have no idea what a difference in my panic attacks during storms it makes.
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Post by rocket on Nov 16, 2013 17:06:19 GMT -6
NWS/LOT has a multi briefing up on their site now for tomorrows storm. The time frame for the biggest episode of tornadoes is from 12pm-3pm for our area and moves east of our area after 3pm. Still have an isolated chance of a tornado in our area between 6am and noon
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Post by rocket on Nov 16, 2013 17:53:02 GMT -6
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Post by endless1summer on Nov 16, 2013 19:42:16 GMT -6
NWS/LOT has a multi briefing up on their site now for tomorrows storm. The time frame for the biggest episode of tornadoes[/i] is from 12pm-3pm for our area and moves east of our area after 3pm. Still have an isolated chance of a tornado in our area between 6am and noon episode of tornadoes sounds like a TV show Tom Skilling would have called it "greatest chance of potential tornado activity"
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Post by dive61364 on Nov 16, 2013 20:13:35 GMT -6
tom skilling is the man lol
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Post by super on Nov 16, 2013 21:15:17 GMT -6
even worse down this way with winds over 70 and tornado action
I suspect it will go west of here and do damage that way
you never know?
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Post by rocket on Nov 17, 2013 7:19:31 GMT -6
ZCZC SPCPWOSPC ALL WOUS40 KWNS 170849 ILZ000-INZ000-KYZ000-MIZ000-OHZ000-WIZ000-171800-
PUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0249 AM CST SUN NOV 17 2013
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED OVER PARTS OF THE MID-MISSISSIPPI AND OHIO VALLEYS INTO MICHIGAN TODAY THROUGH EARLY TONIGHT...
The NWS Storm Prediction Center in Norman, Oklahoma is forecasting the development of a few strong, long-track tornadoes over parts of the Mid-Mississippi and Ohio Valleys into Michigan today through early tonight.
The areas most likely to experience this activity include:
Illinois Indiana Northern and Western Kentucky Lower Michigan Ohio Southeast Wisconsin
Surrounding this greatest risk region, severe thunderstorms will also be possible from parts of Wisconsin, Iowa, Missouri, Arkansas, Mississippi, Alabama, and Tennessee northeastward across much of the Appalachians to the lower Great Lakes.
A potent jet stream disturbance with wind speeds in excess of 120 knots will sweep east across the central Plains today and across the Ohio Valley and northern half of the Appalachians tonight. As this occurs, a surface low now over the mid-Mississippi Valley will rapidly intensify and accelerate northeastward, reaching northern Michigan early tonight and western Quebec Monday morning.
East of the low, increasingly warm and humid air at the surface will spread north across the Tennessee and Ohio Valleys, contributing to very unstable conditions over a large part of the east central United States. Coupled with daytime heating and ascent provided the jet stream impulse, the environment will become very favorable for severe thunderstorms --- especially along and ahead of fast-moving cold front trailing southward from the low into the mid-Mississippi and Ohio Valleys.
Given the degree of thermodynamic instability, and the strength and character of the winds through the depth of the atmosphere, many of the storms will become supercells. Some of these will be capable of producing strong tornadoes --- in addition to large hail and swaths of damaging surface winds.
The storms are expected to consolidate into one or two extensive lines later today into tonight --- extending the threat for damaging winds and isolated tornadoes eastward into the Appalachians by early Monday.
State and local emergency managers are monitoring this potentially very dangerous situation. Those in the threatened area are urged to review severe weather safety rules and to listen to radio, television, and NOAA Weather Radio for possible watches, warnings, and statements later today.
..Corfidi.. 11/17/2013www.spc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/outlook/pwo.html
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Post by gijane on Nov 17, 2013 7:25:12 GMT -6
Down here....Wind advisory, rain/thunderstorms likely. High of 72.
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Post by rocket on Nov 17, 2013 7:29:45 GMT -6
They have moved the high risk back to the west,which now includes lasalle county and all counties along and east of the Illinois river s/swd to the springfield area.
Everyone watch the skies today and keep alert. Any storms that develop ,will move fast and won't be in the area the radar is showing. That is how fast they are moving. The radars update every 10-15min and by the time they update the storms can be 50-60 miles further then what the radar is showing.
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Post by Deleted on Nov 17, 2013 7:29:54 GMT -6
Channel 5 just moved this area from a moderate risk to a high risk.
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Post by rocket on Nov 17, 2013 7:30:32 GMT -6
Torcon is now 7 for Illinois.
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Post by rocket on Nov 17, 2013 7:31:42 GMT -6
There also is a high wind warning on top of this.
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Post by Deleted on Nov 17, 2013 7:35:23 GMT -6
They also said that any tornadoes that touch down will stay on the ground for a long while.
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